Wednesday, October 06, 2021

Simple minded idealists

 I have nothing but contempt for those hypocritical wannabes who talk about change but don't know how to get there; who think money or just talking about it, creating a tax or an investment haven for it will bring it to pass.

Yet such empty vessels are everywhere, standing as "Independents"  People who just stand for climate change, but expect people to vote for them because their intentions are very noble. Vote for them and you won't have a clue what the next few years will look like - except for the confusion you helped perpetuate. Hitlers intentions to give work to all were very noble. 
Renewable energy is fine ,but zero targets and all this dumber than dumber talk of decarbonization is crap because the world works by recycling its own carbon.
Both major parties haven't got a clue on how the world works and it shows with BOTH of them mumbling complete airy fairy nonsense about where they are going to take us. The only one who has a target in mind is Bandt and he is only offering death.  
As for the government seeding investment, it will most likely only please the gamblers and speculators who even now seek a quick profit in their own name.  
http://quickfiz.blogspot.com 

A letter to MORRISON who has swapped truth leadership in science and technology to being misled by the gamblers and speculators in his own party  ( the pay to sequester" crparty ap that some of his party members have put forward )   

https://docs.google.com/document/d/14UMlbjPTJa0hBItCWeGgt8WH2gGmo7SkFbo3APfJSw4/edit?usp=sharing

 


Sunday, August 08, 2021

Damned lies stats and destructive distractions

 Most of us scientists can cope with the wannabes desperately  digging through the permutations and combinations  in search of  their very own perfect set of numbers.( They do it all the time, even though they should trust us to give stupid stats their true significance -- what is truth? )   
It s only when that dumb and dislocating business forces a contravention of plain moral and ethical stupidity,that  I draw the line.
That I call Parliament to redraw the line 

So it seems did Jesus 
The recent census and campaigns around its changes,  focus on the vain attempt  to try and measure something smaller than  the size of mustard seed 
That's OK  BUT 
when such a suspect  scientific imperative comes to try to measure  the depth of children's faith commitment it must be abandoned ,
Right here right now before the date is officially commemorated  . 

What I would like you to consider is that the current requirement to ask children their religion is bordering on obscene, Take the children off the religious page and revise that page  to be clearer in testing intent  and  what it was intended to do and test attendance/ commitment. 

Jesus Christ ( recorded 3 times in the NT) was very clear about trying to measure the size and focus of a child's faith .He condemned those who sought to discourage faith in children and why shouldn't we !
Read it ---( start at Matt 18:6 for a start- recorded in three gospels ) 



Maybe " baptisms, confirmations , attendance "would be better ( if not perfect) than this current almost useless ephemeral nonsense and counterproductive and destructive meddling out of Canberra. 


On other confusions 

1. Basic assumptions  of the survey are  wrong   If the Committee consulted the psychological  profession it would have ben told that all people are assumed to have a religion . Making the "no religion" box is  a irrational construct to suit a lobbyist group . . 
Why should  the many who have no affiliation  be forced to choose the "no religion group"?
Why not have a choice that makes sense ;  " Don't know " box in line with normal surveys ...and also placed at the bottom to avoid lazy thinking responses  etc 

2. Canberra have dopily opened the door to donkey voters.
By placing it first the bureau have slipped up badly as scientists .Sure that first easy box is  going to get more  numbers his year than ever efore  . big deal - what does it really mean ?  
 If it doesn't maybe Aussies care more for their kids and the need for faith of some kind than Census 21 realises 

3.The questions don't test commitment  which was and should still be the more objective and useful aim    
For eg 
1. In would help clarify the question of lapsed members, who is sending their children to church schools but is not an adherent etc etc. 
2. It would provide a more sound stat for next time .Wise Australians recognize that Muslims adherents are growing and their influence too - not to be feared but to be understood .

Religion motivates so  having " no religion "usually means you need like Robespierre ( who killed the church) to invent one 

See at the end his hymn to reason . https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d0tafP8HOok  


Friday, September 11, 2020

The ability to predict the future in a crisis

If only we could really see how it all works.



If Premiers Palaszczuk and Andrews know a better way to the tree of knowledge of good and evil,  they need to demonstrate it quickly . 
Mere numbers of self select from defective detective Andrews , or one source for wisdom,  will not cut it with any dualists in the audience . 




We know the agent of evil is flowing past , but as the seed is a few nano-meters wide and without a filter,  we rely , if we are actually looking at the time  , on indirect and reactionary tests  ( the good old PCR test in the case of Coronavirus) )  to detect its presence. 
 Like life though,  this tiny thing its not evil in itself ;  it needs partners to threaten a life and the only evil is when we don't act and listen to all those partners 
When we keep ourselves in ignorance, ,  don't collect or weigh up the 'much advice' we ( If we should be given the mandate of custodians)  need to make as best a decision as we can .


We often miss detecting the real causative process , Too many of our people think correlation is causation and they perpetuate and make concrete the ignorance . Half educated 

Our own ignorance is our enemy and it often only  raises its very ugly head in a crisis - when things stop working. Polys, if you haven't noticed , get away with murder "( of the budget)  most of the time.
These may be good times,  if the crimes of the wastrels is noted and dealt with? 
    
The sub-science and quickfix propensity of the modern age forces correlation to be seen  as causation . This populat bad habit infects public expenditure and prevents it being spent on risk prevention ( eg early intervention , educated risk taking , treatment of the ill ) and diverts much of  into reactive ineffective detective work on masse ,
Leaders MUST stop universities and schools  from promoting skeptical dilettantism - it now drives too much wasted speculation that is NOT science 

Maybe,  we ALSO need a break from how we normally do things to see why things have gone wrong without us knowing or expecting that ?       Ignorance is the enemy 
We know the seed of evil and unsustainability in the way we individually do things is in there somewhere  because the Bible tells us so --

 As for deliberate ignorance  in a matter -- we know well not everyone wants to admit to the deeper  sources  and projection do they ? an unwillingness to listen ??

Without randomized testing,  we are running the risk of missing the source  too, Tracing too is far too reactionary an idea in an emergency to be relied on as a guide to control --- the matter is urgent ; bets to us only what we know has some hope of working ( Not talking experiment , research and elimination ) 

To be ahead of the game
 --- the risk
The idea is father to the bad actions and the horse is long bolted if you want to know "who started it" ( the false idea or the shallow reaction or lack of preventative action ?) 

And while some want to make it their objective to eliminate the evil from the fluid,  most realists  know that such objective would cost the earth  ( why don't polys and wannabes care about the cost benefit) .If I"much advice" says it "wouldn't work " or wouldn't be likely to work ( the risk scientist)spending more money on old ways to fix it SHOULD stop .    

Just as importantly we realists in the field know that in our home we have to live with evil agents. And remember too they are only a seed and a seed can be resisted in most cases;  from growing to become dominant . 

What this means is all those who fear the final impact of  seed must be reminded that  its worst caes without care scenario ( no we are not pessimistic determinists we can't get rid of it but have to live with it . That there are many ways to reduce the seeds impact . Should the seed infact become great , much advice maybe needed to stop its natural course,  however. 


The Pagan Premiers  (Week of the 12th September 2020)
Several Premiers are this week , making the most of the fear of the future , which just happens , it seems , to increase their popularity.
To do that  2 of them  cover their irresponsibility with regard to information flow with a moral failure of their own making. 
----The Queensland premier says The PM is bullying her when he's simply doing his and her job by providing "much advice".under the rule of responsibility. 
----Daniel Andrews , the articulate professor of rule technology would do well to listen as he stumbles to do the same when he is presiding over the same principle of "much advice" and yet  fails to end the curfew because he can't find the source of the " much advice  to do so..More is coming no doubt,

 IF you can't find the author of the curfew, end the curfew you stubborn arrogant and ignorant pedant . 
 
These two Premiers  both know the rules but have forgotten  the principle behind the rule ....a pedants error . 
I suggest they are both disqualified from office by not taking that office seriously enough.  
The created may forget who or what creates the future,  but the creator or observer of the clamoring for honor does not . It's not usually one of us who creates , but all of us ." It wasn't my idea "if we ever go to confession 
Both Premiers , like the old Kings of  England,  would be better off with a theologian to advise them , They might not make such basic mistakes . Their education system may have forgotten history in their faith in evolving , but it seems they are doomed to repeat history by ignoring on the stuff we can build on.   
Some of us  former's would  remind them of the comfort for them and the people in the safety of much advice .
No one wants leaders going off half cocked,,,,,,,, but they do it .
And its no use blaming the CHO , the CMO or the police , of someone in Canberra

 Just as Premiers and PM have the right to make decisions,  the have the right to listen and tell certain people what they are thinking . backwards and forwrdas .

Ignorance is the enemy
.    do it together is the call 
The hero is not the one who comes up with the perfect solution ( it too is process of much advice ) but that wont stop many from trying 

The hero is a poet ( Carlyle)- one who listens and listens well ( takes the "much advice" route)  B4 summarizes for the rest of us  
 

Friday, January 10, 2020

Smoke and mirrors

In a information overload era,  its easy to forget that important information may not be on any big parties radar .  The public or media majority may not even see the issue , let alone hear about how to address it . This phenomena is increasingly common in the West with complex reasons why ,

Those wonderful realists Orwell  and Waugh should be  taken more seriously by those who claim to follow them as reporters  because the ideas of " Scoop" ( missing the real source of news) 1984  ( the PC )   are more relevant than when they talked about a brave new word that is NOW neither brave nor new - just more fearful ,
Reporters need to report others  not speculate themselves on "how" questions when , as any real scientist knows,  how on a complex topic takes time to answer .

The smoke in Sydney last December from extensive bush fires ( 2018 ) got everyone talking when unclear air should make us think more. Even our once more unemotional  ABC got sensationalist.

Question 1 
Smoke indicates unburnt fuel,  so was the claim of the most catastrophic blazes at that time really true ?Answer. Of course not , The unburnt crowns and low velocity winds are signs of much less than catastrophic bush fire conditions. Yet even our own , "you are supposed to stay calm in a crisis" ABCTV  had fire leaping from its news desks

Everyone has an opinion when it comes to risk,  but wannabes are getting desperate and fanatical ( Reality is they are losing power to the net)   That's the news folks , but you won' t hear it from them

Until the advent of the net these wannabes were the most vocal and their loud voices were the ones we heard  . The emergency agents, as  clones of the worry warriors now want us to worry about air quality; unsustainable and unbelievable in the long term;

Question 2
Should anyone trust them to know anything about real world risks? 
. The boy who cried wolf story reminds us that even someone close to the situation can create smoke with mirrors --- especially if they are immature inexperienced and wanting to be noticed .Sometimes,  you can even have a Richard 111 playing ;  just remember if you play Richard , subtle and sly only works for a time or until an adult  speaks to you honestly .


More on the madness surrounding reporting of our unbounded fires , crisis' and catastrophes here

Question 3
Is there something wrong with the preoccupation of progressives with creating new and more effective solutions to what are quite old problems . Ask people who have suffered Change Everything Often CEO's . The preoccupation of progressives with the idea of  automatic progress is a false faith  ,
Answer    Yes
Read Jacques Ellul's work on the technological fix in the "The Technological Society"

Is it smoke or mirrors ?





Monday, November 18, 2019

Heeding the words of tyrants

Hitlers words are rarely discussed, even though his actions took our worlds away.
Can the con  happen again today , especially if we don't really listen to what men say? . Like home maybe we only think we know what was said in 1930's in Germany and why it worked CATASTROPHE .
What was it that meant only God botherers like Bonhoeffer saw through the words ? That some never see through the PC of the occasion and get in more than a war of words . look up the bard 


How deep runs the disease with words ? 

Do we even NOW realize that its when a large number of people think they are doing the right thing when infact they haven't thought it through .  Orwell said that we act on feelings and are not rational-- the big risk is that we will be conned by mere words - our own words?  , The greatest evil is always done in the name of the best intention; really nice sounding words / solutions .

Like that other great tyrant Richard III there is a hidden consensus that is subtle, sly but very bloody .

Towards consensus ?
What Adolph and Richard shared was a contempt for the superficial and especially the sentimental . It didn't take much to use that hypocrisy once it was exposed  . 

Why worry / is war imminent or just predictable /likely ? in this unweeded garden 
Would wars be stopped by dealing with hypocrisy and guilt --openly by repenting and facing the truth about our sins. ( even when they sound nice )
 What would happen if , rather than hiding behind the post christian cancer of letting everyone do what they like and claiming disadvantage and nature as the causes of our corruption of the truth;
What would happen if we took  a choice  to change , confessed that we are on the wrong track .and started weeding again  If it doesn't work for the good weed the path.


The precarious days of the precariat

In late 2019 most of sense our vulnerability - jobs , work , income and lack of sources of inspiration .And the more mature of us sense the raging cancer like costs of easy cynicism . The rare ones remember the road to real inspiration and the worthwhile costs in highly productive investment. Jaques Ellul ( the Technological Society ) predicted these days of the Precariat . nearly 100 years ago. We don't plan we don't see we refuse to see - our children are worse off than they should be considering our wealth . Ellul expected we would be here because we have chosen to be here. And like typical unrepentant self blinkering human beings, we wouldn't accept responsibly for our choice to go for the technological fix. Instead of facing the truth and light and acknowledging our misauthoring , we would blame others, a process we can't control or call the issue a disease . Nature is now as it was for Hitler and all modern tyrannies the fall back position for our heresies and dehumanizing of ourselves and others. What efficient protective +highly productive jobs have we scrapped in choosing the latest motion and speculation. Adopting the empty promises of the progressives .

Man can be bad but meddling is madness

Yes none of us who actually worked together to protect Victoria's environment would have ever expected , in our wildest dreams,  the blatant ignorance of regenerative ecology to last so long, let alone become entrenched in the dumbing down of government. On the occasion when Wilderness society whims to close the forest become official government policy .
Timber is just one resource they have stuffed up. How much did Lisa Neville's use of
 our $10 go to filling up our reservoirs? How far has our $150 fire levy gone in decreasing damage and discouraging high risk takers?

Wise use of our resources now comes last to appeasing the false guilt of consumers.and covering up their astounding  dumb and narrow minded decisions.
 Instead of wisdom we get the waste and the misdirected empty headed arrogance of wannabes
Instead of honesty and confession , we get coverup . From our own broadcaster , instead of science and  confession ( we don't know )  , we get subtle sly and bloody :http://ondewolf.blogspot.com 


The great jobs our children might have had making sure truly scientific safe sustainable decisions were made each week ( in the sensitive, but resilient world) , are now lost to big nobs playing horrendously expensive games with helicopters, pumps and protecting the fanatical  and stupid . 


Thursday, September 07, 2017

There is no threat from changing the definition of Marriage


The wholesale rejection of any problems with major changes to the language of marriage has deeply disturbed many of us
Subject : Same Sex Marriage Voting  in Australia
( voting letters go out first week of September 2017

Thankfully,  for me at least,  this focus on the heart is not an issue up front for me because politics ( and therefore civil marriage )  must be,  underneath all the hype, practical  .
Unfortunately though the outcome could well be more about simple emotions than public good for all and children and parental influence in particular.

The practical politics of marriage

Civil marriage is necessary/good idea for a number of reasons As as wisely Susan neiman says when reason is missing as it is  -history &good  practice support it . On the negative side (because laws in a libertarian country should only be implemented when really necessary)  some clear statute involving mothers fathers and children and the state are  necessary because marriage creates the biggest risk of all ( children) and caring for the products of failure is partly ALL of our responsibility ( via taxes ) On the positive side, setting a high bar for fathers,( in particular ) and the community to do their darnedest to make it work makes perfect practical sense .

The expected outcome of the survey IMO
 
If it doesn’t cost anything and it makes you feel good ,most people will buy it .. too simple for words!

So what influence are other emotions having ?

Christians are particularly passionate about marriage . That strong passion could be enough to rile non- Christians and bigot haters to vote yes .
If reaction to passion isn't enough,  then the simple appeal to the heart for one small group complaining  of exclusion may well be.
Who needs reasons when you have marketing..  simple buyin


Any place for reality therapy ?  A bit of perspective from history 

A. In the very best libertarian tradition we outta say thus far and no farther with the lawmakers - only laws that are necessary  ( ABOVE )Don't mess up the straight marriage focus
The Russians fell for the Orwellian described simplicity around the concept of equity  -unsustainable
B.  In the very worst tyrannical tradition,  we have self centered groups playing with words in their own interest.  In the very worst tyrannical tradition yes advocates tap the emotional rather than the rational energy of the people.


What are we seeing so far ? 


Having watched a few interviews on ABC recently ( Sep 7) with opposing views featured,  I was never more struck by the self-centeredness of the Yes lobby and their blindness to the adverse and other probable  consequences of their own willfulness -esp for children.

Wanna Buyin to the big picture?
watch the film BABE 

Friday, May 12, 2017

Which Aussie Pollies are most like President Trump

Most of us are surprised that Donald Trump has become the new  president of the United States .
No one like him has ever got the opportunity to change the world in the USA .
Maybe this is happening elsewhere - esp with the French the Greeks. Leaders who have no background to back them.  
Without taking sides,  I am suggesting we discuss the TRUMP PHENOMENON (TP )and whether we see signs of it in our own country .
Former advisor to the Greek Presidents has helpfully talked ( on ABC Radio National) to the phenomenon of insiders and outsiders in leadership struggles . Why is this news to us ?

 If he is right,  both the left and the right are in deep trouble - because these old clubs and their rhetoric are not working - Outsiders are more likely to take control than we ever expected ,
Clearly the once hallowed shared doctrines of reason and reasonability working for the good of democracy  are being REJECTED- the values that were our democracies food are long gone and now the mere shell is about to fall.
 Whether left or right , the ruling party in a  democracy in a technological world that doesn't work is thrown out . The parties are not only being thrown out , they throw their own out . The reasons espoused by the powerful old groups are limiting them
Please contribute your thoughts on the phenomenon

Let me suggest that , as Bertolt Brecht said of Hitler (" the bitch that bore him is in heat again")" that a  particular person may not be the best way to understand the phenomenon that rightly concerns us .

Some characteristics of TP are listed in an earlier post .

I will suggest that the current Leader of the greens Richard di Natale is the most Trump like  because the only thing that seems to matter to him is his passion for what  he thinks is needed . He is the most convinced that  he and the greens could make Austalia great again - but really has no idea how to really do it .

Sure he talks about worthy causes but where is his ability to negotiate and appreciate real world solutions and the other side of the praxis  story?
Donald trump seems to exhibit TP less after 100 days than Di Natalie seems to after years in office . A privilege of unrepresentative opposition ?
If we get an odd ball - which is worse s>
One who admits he doesn't know or one who for years thinks he knows ?